Aug 11, 2021
By Jane Brown
“A fourth wave of COVID-19 is most definitely here.”
Those are the words of the scientific director of Ontario’s science advisory table.
Doctor Peter Juni warns the province could see as many as 1200 new daily cases by the time school resumes in less than a month, up from the current average of just over 300 a day.
And for those individuals who choose to remain unvaccinated against COVID-19, Dr. Juni has a sobering message.
He says if we continue on our current reopening path in Ontario, the probability of unvaccinated people across all age groups to experience infection in the next six to 12 months is 80 to 90 percent.
And he warns the risk of complications from the Delta variant in this unvaccinated group is two to three times higher than with previous variants.
Chief Medical Officer Dr. Kieran Moore says he expects a fourth wave will be fueled by the younger unvaccinated people.
“Given the vast majority of our elderly individuals are protected, we anticipate that the admissions to hospital and the burden of illness will be in the younger age groups,” Moore explained, “We saw that in wave three where it was a progressive increase in people under 60 that were required to come into hospital to get extra oxygen and/or to be ventilated. And that is the age we anticipate the fourth rise in cases, the fourth wave will affect, and I’m calling on them day in and day out to come forward and get vaccinated.”
Currently, 81 percent of Ontario residents 12 and over have received one dose of vaccine, while 72 percent of eligible individuals are fully vaccinated with two doses. Split into demographics, 90 percent of those 70 and up are fully vaccinated, 85 percent for those in their 60s, 75 percent for those in their 50s, 64 percent for those 30-39, and just 58.5 percent of those 18-29 are fully vaccinated with two doses.